Top Longshots Get There for Weekend Cashes

G1 Yellow Ribbon

We closed the day with the G2 Yellow Ribbon at Del Mar and the Super Screener high conviction top choice, Cambodia won in stylish fashion, taking advantage of the pressured pace that left the first four runners in the early part of the race in the back of the field in the end.  Cambodia had clear form cycle and form advantages coming into this and here’s what else the Super Screener said about his game, Thomas Proctor-trained mare:

 

“The Super Screener top win pick honors goes to #7 Cambodia out of the Thomas Proctor barn.  This is a very lightly raced 5 year-old mare that is improving with every race as she faces tougher competition along the way.  She is clearly at her best on firm going and both form cycle and works analysis indicate that she is sitting on a lifetime top coming into this race.  As mentioned, she gets the perfect stalking trip in the clear two off the rail. She has only missed the Superfecta once in 11 starts so she is a very reliable sort.  Her best weapon is that great late turn of foot which allows her to overcome slow pace set ups.  While others are coming into this off layoffs, she is razor sharp right now and has a fitness advantage.”

 

Our top long shot pick, Pretty Girl, also took advantage of the pressured pace and a turf course that continues to favor closers.  We were hoping for 10-1 odds and we got close to that as the gates opened.  She was dead last in the stretch and just kept on barreling through as predicted to catch the Exacta.  Here’s what we saw in Pretty Girl coming into this:

The exploits of the Screener’s top pick, Cambodia, and the top long shot pick, Pretty Girl, paid off on the suggested Exacta wagers as well bringing back $657.

 

G3 West Virginia Derby

While Todd Pletcher-trained, Patch, couldn’t get the job done, the Super Sceener’s Top Value pick, Colonelsdarktemper obliged going wire-to-wire at juicy odds of 7-1 in what was a really gutsy victory for this colt prevailing after dueling throughout.  Our top long shot pick, Game Over, with morning line odds of 15-1 projected, got hit hard by insiders and he ended up going off as the second choice on the board.  He too ran a big race despite closing the gap on the winner down the lane but missing the win by a length.  Here’s what the Super Screener said about these horses before the race:

 

“This track configuration and surface favors those with early energy distribution profiles positioned on the inside.  Our top long shot pick #1 Game Over secures the perfect position on the rail and comes back from a salty version of the G3 Ohio Derby with the winner and 2nd place finisher, Irap and Girvin, respectively, coming back to win their next races.  #1 Game Over made a bold middle move in the Ohio Derby forecasting an improvement in his next outing.  We secure top value on this colt and he is a key Super Screener top long shot play.”

 

#7 Colonelsdarktemper is a very consistent sort that has run tough against Irap and McCracken in his last two races.  Hasn’t had a break since his debut in February running every month at least once since. Another move forward?  Recent works suggest that will be the case.  Added distance?  Breeding and balanced energy distribution profile suggest it will be no problem.  He is well suited to succeed on this quirky track surface.”

 

Patch was hit hard in the Exacta and so with that colt finishing at the bottom of the Superfecta, the Colonelsdarktemper/Game Over Exacta paid a generous $94.80 for $2.  Super Screener suggested wager had it 5 times for a $474 payoff.  Add in a hit on a suggested Trifecta ticket for $258 and the total score was $732.

 

G1 Test

It was chalkfest in this year’s edition of the G1 Test with the co-favorites American Gal and Faypien finishing 1 – 2.  American Gal proved she will be a force to reckon with come Breeders’ Cup time. Looks like CA-based fillies are going to be extra tough this year.  Screener’s suggested Exacta and Trifecta wagers hit but payoffs came in light with the favorites making up the Exacta.

Lure Stakes

Zennor proved the best at 14-1 winning in rather dominant style on this day.  The Screener was very bullish on this horse but backed off knowing he needed super firm turf…we backed off too much. Our top two Super Screener ranked horses completed the Trifecta.  A Screener top long shot pick, Our Way stumbled at the started and then looked very rattled going into the first turn and for some reason coming out of the second turn we find him 7 wide.  Wouldn’t have made an impact here, regardless, but definitely one to follow in his come back race.

 

While Saratoga and Del Mar will host a couple of Graded Stakes this coming weekend, it is Arlington Park’s turn in the spotlight with their best card of year highlighted by the G1 Arlington Million and supported by the G1 Beverly D.  and G1 Secretariat.  All of these races have Breeder’s Cup implications so it is shaping up to be one heck of a race day on that turf course jockeys and trainers alike continue to proclaim as one of the best in the nation.  We’ll have it all covered for you right here as we are looking forward to digging into the deep fields on the card that day.

 

Until next weekend…Go fast and win!

 

Mike

 

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