Hollywood Derby, Go For Wand + More Results! – Super Screener
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Hollywood Derby, Go For Wand + More Results!

Zoe Metz/Eclipse Sportswire

G3 Go For Wand

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In a rare feat, the Super Screener actually picked the exact order of finish for all 7 runners in this race. But, the real highlight was sniffing out the vulnerability of the two favorites and isolating two value horses as the top pair to complete the Exacta.  Here’s the Super Screener analysis for the winner, Highway Star, and 2nd place finisher, High Ridge Road:

“(Highway Star) New York bred has been cleaning up against other state bred types.  Has improved in every one of her last 3 starts.  Screener projects another move forward in this her third race off the layoff.  Is undefeated in 4 starts going one turn.  Should get a little value here given the modest connections.”
“(High Ridge Road) Lightly raced 4 year old has been away from racing action since early July.  Last super work suggests that she’ll run big off the shelf.  Has never missed the Superfecta in 8 starts.  Ran well enough in the Lady Secret to compete effectively against these. This is our top value play as she possesses the perfect energy distribution profile for this and we’ll get value to boot.  Tons of upside over others in here.

With this outcome, the Super Screener suggested wagers were rewarded with hitting the $2 Exacta 14 times for a payoff of $826.  An important handicapping take away is that this time of year pay particular attention to horses that have been lightly raced this year or are late blooming types that are coming into the upside of their form cycle while fading horses that have run most of the year are either just holding form or beginning to sour and in need of a break.

G1 Hollywood Derby

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While professional handicappers and the public alike preferred Chad Brown’s other two entrants in here, the Super Screener was able to ascertain that Annals of Time was the best of the trio and would offer value at around 6-1 odds.  Not only did he win but did so completing the final fraction in a stunning :11 flat.  We witnessed what may be THE turf star in Chad Brown’s barn next year and we haven’t seen the best of this colt yet.  This is another one of those late blooming 3 year-olds that had a big, big move projected in his form cycle.  This is what the Super Screener had to say about this rising star:

Of Chad Brown’s trio, #11 Annals of Time is drawing the interest of the Super Screener.  All three of his entrants are win contenders here but #11 Annals of Time is one of those late season bloomers with more upside than his stablemates which have been campaigning all year long.  He draws jockey Javier Castellano as well which lends more confidence.  He was stymied a bit in the G3 Hill Prince as he ran up on the heels of his stablemate, #1 Beach Patrol, but had no exit points to either side so he just idled for the 3rd place finish.  With clear running, he is a strong candidate to outrun his stablemates for the win.

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The suggested Trifecta wager hit for $467.  Neither of our top long shot picks managed to run a lick and they were the key to additional suggested wager cashes but we’ll take the win.

As a side note, Graham Motion’s colt, Hayabusa One, looks like he will also be a good one next year.  He was dead last throughout most of the race but ran huge late to pass five horses in the stretch as if they were standing still.  Keep an eye on this lightly raced colt.

Claiming Crown Express

The Claiming Crown races came up very competitive this year and offered horse players a ton of deep fields to choose from.  The Super Screener opted for the Claiming Crown Express races which featured a full field of 14 horses going 6 furlongs.  Two of the Super Screener “A” horses finished one-two to complete the Exacta which the suggested Exacta wager hit 4 times for $144.  One of the closers we liked in this swift/pressured pace set up was #6 Express Bet.  He completed the Trifecta at 9-1 and the Super Screener clicked on two suggested Trifecta wagers for over $300.  Here’s what the Super Screener had to say about Express Jet:

“(Express Jet) 7th race in 90 days but he is still holding form and consistently submitting top efforts.  Stronger board hitting candidate versus for the win as his middle/late energy distribution profile is just perfect for impacting the Trifecta.”

From a graded stakes action perspective, next weekend is one of the quietest weekends of the year but that doesn’t mean there won’t be several very playable stakes races on Saturday as Fair Grounds features their Louisiana Champions day. Following that, the graded stakes action heats up again at Gulfstream Park as we head into Christmas and then the always well anticipated day-after-Christmas opening of the Santa Anita meet.

Until then “go fast and win”!

Mike

2 Comments

  1. Randy Natho

    December 5, 2016 at 1:15 pm

    Mike, Thanks again I cashed for 738.00 this weekend. Man I love your program.
    Randy.

  2. Don Sherret

    December 5, 2016 at 3:44 pm

    I cashed a $1 trifecta on the Hollywood Derby plus a couple of Exactas for more than $862. Great work, Mike!