Stephen Foster Night CASHES – RECAP

Regret (G3)

The Super Screener Top Win, Top Value, Top Board Hitter pick, #5 Hard Legacy, was holding at great odds of 8-1 right up to a minute to go and then was bet down to just shy of 6-1. She pressed initially, then took command after the first quarter and never looked back. Winter Sunset followed her around the track and finished 2nd. The 2^nd ranked filly, Varenka, completed the Trifecta.

Here’s what the Super Screener projected regarding Hard Legacy before the race:

“The pace here will be around par with #9 Fortunate Girl inheriting the lead. Mark Casse’s son, Norm, will have #7 Belle Laura up close pressing that foe with that pair ensuring an honest pace for the Super Screener Top Win, Top Value and Top Board Hitter pick, #5 Hard Legacy. This filly is sitting on a huge race as she continues her forward move in her form progression. She can excel on any turf condition having won on both yielding and firm turf courses. She needs spacing between races for her best and comes into this off a 70-day layoff. She is begging for more ground and gets it here. Possesses a very balanced energy distribution profile which bodes very well for the stretch out. Super top player.”

With Hard Legacy’s win in this race, the suggested Exacta and even the saver $.10 Superfecta box hit. In addition, we closed the evening card scoring on one of our P4 suggested tickets. So, in this final race covered by the Super Screener, the total return was nearly $1,100.

Stephen Foster (G2)

The Super Screener top two picks, Tom’s d’Etat and Gift Box, finished 3^rd and 4^th, respectively. Seeking the Soul winning this race was no surprise, but Quip hanging on for 2^nd was a head-scratcher despite pressing what was the very modest pace we correctly anticipated. Quip did not get the best of starts and managed to outlast the more highly-rated Tom’s d’Etat. It appears the promise of this colt many be finally coming to fruition. One to follow in his next starts.
The Super Screener top Long Shot pick, Thirstforlife, just missed finishing 4^th at 21-1. We faded Tenfold and he did not disappoint finishing near the back at 12-1.

Fleur de Lis (G2)

No surprises here as the top three favorites completed the Trifecta. Only disappointment was that the odds-on favorite, Elate, won this, putting a drag on the horizontal wager prices. She enjoyed the perfect trip, just sitting off the modest pace and then swept by the Blue Prize and She’s a Julie in the final furlong.

Wise Dan (G2)

After finishing a close up 5^th behind the likes of Bricks and Mortar and Clyde’s Image in the G1 Turf Classic, March to the Arch parlayed that solid effort into a win in the Wise Dan.  He took advantage of the swift and pressured pace and out ran other closers in the blanket finish at the wire. Here’s what the Super Screener said about March to the Arch prior to race:

#11 – March to the Arch – CLOSER – Stablemate to #3 First Premio. Finished 4 lengths behind Bricks and Mortar in the G1 Turf Classic. Seems to prefer 1 1/8th miles and definitely would be a better prospect on first going. Probably a bit of a fooler here. Use under but cover for the win.

The Super Screener Top Win Pick, Admission Office, left too much work to do as he was still far back in last after 6 furlongs but he came with a rush in that final furlong to snag 3^rd place.

If you played All Right off his best race, he figured on the board, but form cycle analysis was indicating a decline off that recent top. That projection was clearly wrong as this gelding ran a clear 2^nd at 71-1. Sometimes that “All” button is a horse player’s best friend though that can get awfully expensive.

One final note, the Super Screener did accurately project that Itsinthepost was vulnerable here and he did finish last at 12-1. Looks like this horse’s best races are now behind him.

This coming Saturday, Monmouth Park has a big day offering several graded stakes races, featuring the United Nations (G1). In addition, the Ohio Derby, which will include several Derby trail players, will highlight the day’s action…don’t miss it!

Until this coming weekend, Go Fast and Win!

Mike